Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.758866 4.369859 5.016653 5.749199 6.552671 7.404078 8.371410
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.759193 3.580141 4.512150 5.635166 6.938266 8.389938 10.116398
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.108628 3.041731 4.172490 5.611544 7.362293 9.392799 11.894760
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.618291 2.595556 3.857114 5.545499 7.687132 10.257521 13.518649
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.370090 2.410131 3.826380 5.800401 8.387036 11.572902 15.702965
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.107982 2.152509 3.656373 5.839545 8.791777 12.517984 17.445956
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.974523 2.058418 3.691820 6.140343 9.532326 13.892859 19.745295
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.849250 1.952110 3.690472 6.377217 10.183758 15.159958 21.927927
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.716315 1.806083 3.607902 6.481707 10.646244 16.181377 23.807598
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.575291 1.615007 3.429091 6.423027 10.866731 16.875687 25.265614
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.490838 1.513508 3.380986 6.550397 11.345412 17.918019 27.190332
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.417889 1.418753 3.331134 6.665488 11.802174 18.932823 29.088944
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.321372 1.249139 3.134116 6.538725 11.906480 19.477699 30.390449
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.239316 1.086129 2.926151 6.374925 11.942581 19.922703 31.561620
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.184530 0.973419 2.797357 6.330180 12.151659 20.610384 33.070866
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.137805 0.862878 2.655750 6.249164 12.295176 21.201195 34.450795
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.122425 0.848408 2.713114 6.521249 13.000877 22.615449 36.994020
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.095927 0.781078 2.645858 6.561417 13.333799 23.489079 38.790409
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.087663 0.781875 2.731617 6.886144 14.133417 25.060049 41.587027
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.077046 0.767641 2.780213 7.141889 14.824983 26.480345 44.186275
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.062218 0.724905 2.755115 7.254594 15.281728 27.556536 46.307985
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044479 0.651508 2.643296 7.191008 15.440049 28.185119 47.795364
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.035698 0.620765 2.635163 7.328637 15.937275 29.329336 50.032894